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My take on recent trading is that ESIO & ZIGO are being priced according to their relative book value & cash per share with far less than the usual concern for long-term fundamentals.
At prices of $5.10 for ZIGO & $6.35 for ESIO, this is how they stack up: ESIO's cash per share is 89% of its market capitalization while ZIGO's cash per share is 58%. ZIGO would have to trade around $3.30 to equal ESIO's valuation for cash per share. ESIO is selling at 44% of its book value while ZIGO is priced at 52%, so ZIGO needs to drop to $4.30 to equal ESIO's valuation for book value. VALUES USED IN CALCULATIONS: ZIGO Cash Per Share: $2.95 ZIGO Book Value Per Share: $9.72 ESIO Cash Per Share: $5.64 ESIO Book Value Per Share: $14.30 If cash and book value are all an investor is considering then ZIGO should go down once the merger was broken and ESIO would go up because it is no longer being held down by Zigo's lower cash & book percentages. Since I believe ESIO's fundamentals are much worse than ZIGO's, I don't think ZIGO will approach the prices needed to match ESIO's much lower valuation. We'll know more after next Thursday how disparate the long-term prospects are for the two companies. Rating :
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41/Male |
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Messages in Topic
| Subject | Author | Rating | Time of Post (ET) | ||
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A Reason For Zygo's Drop
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rroach76 |
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23-Jan-09 01:05 pm | ||
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no deal.
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gooseneck_b... | (2 Ratings) | 26-Jan-09 05:29 am | ||
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My entire post is predicated on the fact that...
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rroach76 | (1 Rating) | 26-Jan-09 03:06 pm | ||
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reason: apparently not a very good company for inv...
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sportinggoo... | Rate it | 26-Jan-09 02:51 pm | ||
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Do you own any Zygo? Whether you do or not, ...
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rroach76 | Rate it | 26-Jan-09 03:12 pm | ||
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I left out one more thing some traders are probabl...
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rroach76 | Rate it | 26-Jan-09 03:15 pm | ||
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Before the announcement, ZYGO was trading at ...
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sportinggoo... | Rate it | 26-Jan-09 03:26 pm | ||
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Since you're in ESI, would you want to s...
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rroach76 | Rate it | 26-Jan-09 04:12 pm | ||
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Sportinggoodsmaven,
Forget the 2...
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rroach76 | Rate it | 26-Jan-09 04:20 pm | ||
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Yes, I would like to see the m...
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sportinggoo... | (1 Rating) | 26-Jan-09 04:47 pm | ||
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I never saw the synergies...
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wpineu09 | (1 Rating) | 26-Jan-09 11:10 pm | ||
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estimate at minus 11...
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gooseneck_b... | Rate it | 29-Jan-09 11:19 am | ||
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Do you think Br...
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wpineu09 | Rate it | 29-Jan-09 01:49 pm | ||
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The follow...
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rroach76 | Rate it | 29-Jan-09 10:28 pm | ||
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Wha te...
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observerxxx | (2 Ratings) | 30-Jan-09 06:33 am | ||
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Cou ld...
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wpineu09 | (1 Rating) | 30-Jan-09 07:12 am | ||
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In my...
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s_planer | (1 Rating) | 9-Feb-09 07:55 am | ||
See more replies
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you m...
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mo.99@snet.... | Rate it | 17-Mar-09 08:44 am | ||
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zygo ...
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mo.99@snet.... | (1 Rating) | 24-Mar-09 08:32 am | ||
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I agr...
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mo.99@snet.... | Rate it | 29-Jun-09 01:30 pm | ||
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to rroach: $3.30/share but only $2.82 in cash.
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mj21407 | Rate it | 3-Mar-09 04:35 pm | ||
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Other than posting a different cash per share...
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rroach76 | Rate it | 3-Mar-09 06:18 pm | ||
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I worked at zygo for 14 years. Took my job serious...
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mo.99@snet.... | (1 Rating) | 6-Mar-09 01:09 pm | ||
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Were you working in Connecticut, Arizona or F...
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s_planer | Rate it | 9-Mar-09 01:09 pm | ||
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another lay off, and I was right again. the f...
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mo.99@snet.... | (1 Rating) | 29-Jun-09 01:27 pm | ||
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Its close to the end of the quarter, lay offs will...
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mo.99@snet.... | (2 Ratings) | 16-Mar-09 09:38 am | ||
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zygo at one time was all about quality and taking ...
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mo.99@snet.... |
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29-Apr-09 08:39 am | ||
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Major customer slows down deliveries and...
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blessed61@s... |
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9-Jul-09 11:34 am | ||
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The shareholders have also suffered...
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s_planer | (2 Ratings) | 13-Jul-09 04:21 pm | ||
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Yes, the share holders have su...
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blessed61@s... | (2 Ratings) | 14-Jul-09 10:10 am | ||
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wow!was I right again...sorry K you can ...
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mo.99@snet.... | (1 Rating) | 24-Jul-09 11:34 am | ||
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