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Message Boards Settings TRANSALTA CORP MTN COM NPV (TA.TO) - Quote Info
earnings forecast, 2009     29-Aug-09 10:41 am    
1st quarter 18 cents CAD
2nd Quarter (3) cents loss CAD
3rd Quarter - is still pressured by low prices and low reliability. Nat gas is setting the marginal electricity price. predict 8 cents
hers a link to the Albert System operator http://www.aeso.ca/market/8856.html
You can see in the current supply demand what units are running, in daily avg price see the daily average SMP (system marginal price). Watch it once a week and you can see how well TA is doing on the Alberta Fleet. The event log will fill in some outage duration questions.
4th quarter - nat gas will still pressure the marginal price of electricity, and the rolling average SMP (system marginal price)will limit PPA revenues out of alberta. With some luck and improved reliability 20 cents

My 2009 EPS prediction 43 cents CAD

I guess no one is really watching. The analyst estimates really havn't changed after 2 poor quarters. 15 cents EPS so far this year, 1/2 way to the full year.

good luck all investors
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retire_yung


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earnings forecast, 2009
retire_yung Not rated 29-Aug-09 10:41 am  
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