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Mbusser: BMY is a very good bet. BMY is actually 1 of 5 most likely suitors to acquire SVNT and here's why: The 5 drug companies whose patent exposure to generics is the highest between now and 2012 are: 1)FRX(73%),2)PFE(40%),3)AZN(39%),4)MRK(35%) & 5)BMY(33%). These 5 drug companies face the steepest patent cliff and-by the way-together hold approximately $88.3B in cash to make deals. BMY,MRK,AZN,PFE and FRX are all in the same sinking boat and all have to make deals because they simply have no other choice. The other big negative headwind these same 5 companies now face is the new HC bill which is estimated to cost the industry approximately $80B over the next 10 yrs. That's what you call a double whammy. A huge patent cliff + huge rebates. Both factors IMO will compel the 5 above and others to pay a premium for approvable, blockbuster potential drugs. A $1.8-$2B takeout price would be the likely price range in any nearterm deal. Industry dynamics now favor target companies like SVNT. Any suitor who is Scrooge-like at the negotiating table will walk away empty-handed and face rapidly declining revs,earnings and valuation multiples going forward. Not a nice prospect.
Sentiment : Strong Buy Rating :
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They just mentioned the 'deficient' items from the CRL....
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justaguy222... | Rate it | 5-Nov-09 10:14 am | ||
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Ahhh yes -- stronger balance sheet. Right Paul.
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justaguy222... | Rate it | 5-Nov-09 10:17 am | ||
See replies above
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thanks aa.
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huskys4u2 | Rate it | 5-Nov-09 01:41 pm | ||
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delay, delay and delay.
this is disgust...
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camel1800 | Rate it | 5-Nov-09 01:51 pm | ||
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camel1800,
At least you have suf...
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sandyandkin... | Rate it | 5-Nov-09 01:58 pm | ||
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I think frustration is really ...
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sandyandkin... | Rate it | 5-Nov-09 02:11 pm | ||
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justaguy222... | Rate it | 5-Nov-09 07:54 pm | ||
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I agree the mgmt tea...
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mbusser56 | Rate it | 7-Nov-09 07:22 pm | ||
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Re: Q3 Call
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mcj96 | (2 Ratings) | 7-Nov-09 10:15 pm | ||
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Mbusser: B...
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mcj96 | Rate it | 17-Nov-09 10:28 pm | ||
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The o...
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mbusser56 | Rate it | 18-Nov-09 07:35 am | ||
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mbu ss...
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justaguy222... | Rate it | 18-Nov-09 09:11 am | ||
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BMY today gave ...
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mcj96 | Rate it | 10-Nov-09 09:30 pm | ||
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RDEA's research has the estima...
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mcj96 |
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5-Nov-09 10:47 am | ||
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