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"Who said we're gonna unprint?"     20-Jul-09 05:22 pm    
Tomorrow, Bernanke is expected to explain to congress how the Fed will safe-guard against future inflation having dramatically expanded the monetary base by 100% since last fall. There may be a big surprise waiting, however. Here is why:

In this note from PIMCO's Paul McCulley, he outlines tactics of how the Fed should proceed to, enforce consumer spending, reflate the economy and kill deflation expectations citing previous advice given to Japan by Krugman and Bernanke.

http://www.pimco.com/LeftNav/Featured+Ma...

In essence, the Fed announces to the markets and the publis that the money printed will not be unwound and is here to stay. Not only is this money here to stay, but there will be more (NOT LESS) printing. In order to make this threat credible (to scare the public out of saving and into spending), the Fed will bypass the banks and directly monetize government debt until the price level CATCHES UP TO WHERE IT WOULD HAVE BEEN had there been no economic contraction and deflation of credit. Bernanke calls this price-level-gap.

Excerpts:

“The way to make monetary policy effective is for the central bank to credibly promise to be irresponsible – to make a persuasive case that it will permit inflation to occur, thereby producing the negative real interest rates the economy needs.”

Krugman


"Of course, one can never get something for nothing; from a public finance perspective, increased monetization of government debt simply amounts to replacing other forms of taxes with an inflation tax. But, in the context of deflation-ridden Japan, generating a little bit of positive inflation (and the associated increase in nominal spending) would help achieve the goals of promoting economic recovery and putting idle resources back to work, which in turn would boost tax revenue and improve the government’s fiscal position.”

Bernanke



If this is the course the Fed chooses, inflation is not just a necessary evil of current actions, it will be an outright goal.

Draw your own conclusions
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"Who said we're gonna unprint?"
batshwing (2 Ratings) 20-Jul-09 05:22 pm  
 
>In order to make this threat credible (to scare t...
vonmiser 20-Jul-09 06:38 pm  
 
Actually, something else, quite unexpected ha...
batshwing (2 Ratings) 20-Jul-09 07:03 pm  
 
Very good observation. I was wondering w...
vonmiser 20-Jul-09 08:50 pm  
 
>BTW, what was your take on th...
vonmiser (1 Rating) 21-Jul-09 01:20 am  
 
I agree. Competitiveness ...
batshwing 21-Jul-09 03:01 am  
 
If the tax burden be...
usakmatt (2 Ratings) 21-Jul-09 11:51 am  
 
Inflating out o...
batshwing (1 Rating) 21-Jul-09 12:38 pm  
 
Yeah, that...
stoogeno4 (1 Rating) 21-Jul-09 01:09 pm  
 
I wonder if this par...
vonmiser (1 Rating) 21-Jul-09 11:58 am  
 
That is an interesti...
vonmiser (1 Rating) 21-Jul-09 12:07 pm  
 
Maybe GS will g...
batshwing Rate it 21-Jul-09 01:13 pm  
 
I see McCulley is no longer calling us "inflation ...
stoogeno4 (1 Rating) 21-Jul-09 11:31 am  
 
The best thing I got out of this article is t...
batshwing Rate it 21-Jul-09 01:08 pm  
 
I agree on both counts. Actually, right...
stoogeno4 (1 Rating) 21-Jul-09 01:12 pm  
 
Batshwing, Do you know what exactly he means by...
vonmiser Rate it 26-Jul-09 11:17 pm  
 
Federal Agencies executing the American Recov...
batshwing (1 Rating) 27-Jul-09 03:24 pm  
 
Yes, I think I remember what you refer t...
vonmiser Rate it 27-Jul-09 10:35 pm  
 
1) Translate "it" (the word) from i...
batshwing (1 Rating) 28-Jul-09 01:12 am  
 
Thanks for the links. I was not sure if ...
vonmiser (1 Rating) 28-Jul-09 01:22 am  
 
The Fed is the fascade and fall guy...
batshwing (1 Rating) 28-Jul-09 01:50 am  
 
It all seems possible, I would...
vonmiser (1 Rating) 28-Jul-09 03:03 am  
 
Yes, it seems possible. ...
batshwing Rate it 29-Jul-09 01:42 am  
 
"The Fed is the fascade and fa...
serpentseed Rate it 28-Jul-09 09:20 am  
 
This site is so nice I de...
serpentseed (1 Rating) 28-Jul-09 09:30 am  
 
Great site. Thanks ...
bailoutbrui... (1 Rating) 29-Jul-09 09:08 am  
 
serpent, Now you...
simplykathi... (1 Rating) 29-Jul-09 05:36 am  
 
Sorry simpleton, I'm...
serpentseed Rate it 29-Jul-09 06:27 am  
 
Good Morning Kathy, ...
batshwing Rate it 29-Jul-09 10:59 am  
 
Good explanatio...
serpentseed Rate it 29-Jul-09 12:30 pm  
 
I have kno...
batshwing (1 Rating) 29-Jul-09 02:10 pm  
 
>>To ...
serpentseed Rate it 29-Jul-09 03:08 pm  
 
Let 's...
batshwing Rate it 29-Jul-09 03:50 pm  
 
Now, ...
serpentseed Rate it 29-Jul-09 04:00 pm  
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You guys s...
portfolio_m... (1 Rating) 30-Jul-09 08:33 am  
 
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