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Message Boards Settings Nordic American Tanker (NAT) - Quote Info
Change In Strategy     28-Oct-09 07:44 am    
I currently have sold naked calls on NAT at several different denominations and expirations. The premiums have dropped to the extent that I can't justify selling any more. But at the same time the overall stock market looks ready for a major correction - 5% at least from here. I think the dividend is going to come in south of $.25. (My calculations put it between $.10 & $.15 but for this investment model $.25 is at least a good starting point.) This would cut the dividend in half and I think the least return any reasonable investor would be willing to get investing in NAT would be 4.0%. This assumes someone buys HH's long term prognosis. (Which I don't because of the huge increase in tanker capacity coming on stream in the next couple of years.) After the earnings report I anticipate the price to drop to $25 quickly - this is clearly the high end of the possible range NAT will trade at. My original plans were to buy puts on Nov 6th but now I am starting to buy them now. Nat could be down another $2, at under $27, by Nov 6th thereby significantly reducing the potential return. I am only buying the Nov $28 puts. On Nov 6th I may add lower denominations.
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deeremanuk

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  Subject Author Rating Time of Post (ET)  
 
Change In Strategy
deeremanuk (2 Ratings) 28-Oct-09 07:44 am  
 
You got it all wrong! Dollar will go down in th...
rockfish220... (2 Ratings) 28-Oct-09 11:44 am  
 
and pigs will fly!!!
dapoobah (1 Rating) 28-Oct-09 12:34 pm  
 
Did someone out there doubt me. Dapooba...
rockfish220... Rate it 29-Oct-09 11:47 am  
 
Those pigs are flapping really hard...
dapoobah Rate it 29-Oct-09 01:28 pm  
 
You were right, their wings we...
rockfish220... Rate it 30-Oct-09 10:40 am  
 
And Nancy Pelosi will have an anorism thereby...
divielover Rate it 2-Nov-09 01:58 pm  
 
Man this stock has given me a deep wedge...
rockfish220... Rate it 3-Nov-09 11:06 am  
 
Here is an idea and either way we all win. If we g...
adamwillg32... Rate it 29-Oct-09 02:26 pm  
 
great idea if you endless money and don't min...
rockfish220... Rate it 29-Oct-09 03:04 pm  
 
great idea if you endless money and don't min...
rockfish220... Rate it 29-Oct-09 03:04 pm  
 
Shipping rates are still too low givren ...
prd1krd Rate it 29-Oct-09 05:20 pm  
 
historically this is the season to ...
divielover Rate it 3-Nov-09 11:52 am  
 
I think my buy last week will ...
rockfish220... Rate it 3-Nov-09 01:49 pm  
 
Granted, the recent rise in rates is impressive, b...
deeremanuk (1 Rating) 30-Oct-09 09:21 am  
 
DeerMan: I went to CNBC.COM and found the 0.28 es...
msburko Rate it 1-Nov-09 09:22 am  
 
Mitch, I think next week is a real crap sh...
deeremanuk Rate it 1-Nov-09 05:27 pm  
 
Another thing to watch - OSG reports tomorrow morn...
deeremanuk Rate it 1-Nov-09 05:55 pm  
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Nordic American Tanker Shipping Ltd. (NAT)

Chart for Nordic American Tanker Shipping Ltd. (NAT)
At 4:03PM ET: 30.07 Down 0.08 (0.27%)
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