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This is what will happen to Luby's in this order:
1. Luby's stock price tanks to 3.25 or lower on news of the next bad quarter 2. Pappas' decide to close a few more units tumbling the stock price further 3. At this point, a stock price of 3.00 -3.25 is the price the Pappas bought in at 4. They approach the Board and discuss options for the company to go private 5. Pappas offer 7.00/share for buyout. Board approves 6. If you own the stock at 3.50 or so, you got yourself a double 7. The next thing is the worst part-they close 70% of the stores and try to sell real estate-this will happen next year. 70% of Luby's employees lose jobs, employees get nothing 8. Luby's remains open with 30-40 profitable units. Houston Metro Area-12 stores Dallas/Ft Worth -5 stores San Antonio- 5 stores Austin-2 stores Corpus-1 store Valley- 3 stores El Paso 2 stores Tyler/Longview stay open that's it folks-all other properties sold or reopened with another Pappas concept that is more profitable Why is this basically going to happen? 1. Cafeteria delivery system no longer profitable with labor = 35% or more company wide 2. Real estate profitable 3. No future with expansion of cafeteria model 4. Pappas Brothers near retirement-consolidation of businesses What business can you tell me has a 35% labor cost and remains open? The smart play on the stock. Wait for the numbers to come out on the next quarter, announcing in Sept. DO NOT BUY HERE Stock will fall to 3.50 slowly until September-then tank to 3.00 or so. The only reason some new money may buy is because of the real estate. This stock will be a real estate play only KEEP THIS POST NEAR THE TOP. I won't be wrong. If anyone wants to reply, I'll be happy to discuss what I know Sentiment : Strong Sell Rating :
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This is what will happen to Luby's-*READ*
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ryerby12 |
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22-Jun-09 12:36 am | ||
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I think what you say could happen, but I doubt it ...
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ptipking222 | (1 Rating) | 22-Jun-09 04:02 pm | ||
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I like your analysis.
Still, I bought a starte...
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imd85 | (1 Rating) | 30-Jun-09 01:59 pm | ||
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Is the dip coming?
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imd85 | Rate it | 10-Jul-09 03:00 pm | ||
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i think it already came. Now is the time...
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shorthighco... | (1 Rating) | 12-Jul-09 12:01 pm | ||
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Yeah, it looks like the 3.98-3.99 m...
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imd85 | (1 Rating) | 16-Jul-09 06:14 pm | ||
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Time to accumulate?
You hav...
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imd85 | (1 Rating) | 1-Oct-09 12:54 pm | ||
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you sound like a short......
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shorthighco... | Rate it | 3-Oct-09 09:37 am | ||
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So is it time to accumula...
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imd85 | (1 Rating) | 16-Oct-09 01:11 am | ||
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Remember Ramius! Pa...
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pictruandtr... | Rate it | 17-Oct-09 04:22 pm | ||
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Who is the Luby...
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hopefullyfu... | Rate it | 21-Oct-09 12:26 pm | ||
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Technical analysis? ...
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imd85 | Rate it | 19-Oct-09 02:26 pm |
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