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Here is my thinking:
On the sources side, I would use the same number as the past two quarters for total sources (loan proceeds, loan sales, asset sales, etc.): just over $630M per quarter. I deem this to be a conservative starting point (assuming the economy doesn’t get significantly worse) as this number is significantly less than the preceding quarters and I think SFI should be able to liquidate NPLs at a faster rate in 2010 as the foreclosure process has a long lead-time. In any event over the next 5 quarters I see the following: Sources: $630M * 5 = $3,150 Uses: Freemont Note = $675M Remaining Fundings = $325M Bonds Due in 2010 = $800 Net: $1,350M Add that to the current cash and I think they can enter 2011 with over $1.5B in cash and capacity. Obviously, 2011 is an important year as they have over $2.5B is debt due that year, but its spread out of the year and my numbers don’t factor in the $250M of bonds they pre-paid this past quarter as a portion are 2010/11 maturities and thus being incorrectly accounted for on the Uses side. Sentiment : Hold Rating :
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Messages in Topic
| Subject | Author | Rating | Time of Post (ET) | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Sources & Uses through 2010
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jason_kings... | (2 Ratings) | 30-Oct-09 09:30 am | ||
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Jason -
I would think that Sugarman would like ...
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quadruplema... | Rate it | 30-Oct-09 09:36 am | ||
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I agree, but i think he should have the resou...
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jason_kings... | Rate it | 30-Oct-09 09:44 am | ||
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I thought closer to 4 billion was due in...
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watercraft4...
Online Now
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Rate it | 30-Oct-09 09:52 am | ||
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2011 uses as of June 30, 2009:
...
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woolypmamot... | Rate it | 30-Oct-09 03:48 pm | ||
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Don't forget guys that they ha...
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pimmoban | Rate it | 30-Oct-09 05:59 pm | ||
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To raise 640M per quarter...
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woolypmamot... | Rate it | 1-Nov-09 08:08 pm | ||
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Total net worth does...
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jason_kings... | Rate it | 2-Nov-09 03:02 pm | ||
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Thanks, by the ...
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dwrightod | Rate it | 7-Nov-09 01:04 pm | ||
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Quad,
Can you shed some light on this? So ...
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substancial... | Rate it | 4-Nov-09 11:41 am | ||
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Sub -
Here's a relevant comment from ...
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quadruplema... | Rate it | 4-Nov-09 11:52 am | ||
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If they pay the 500 million down, t...
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hmtsorno | Rate it | 4-Nov-09 01:35 pm | ||
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I don't think you've thought t...
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quadruplema... | Rate it | 4-Nov-09 02:14 pm | ||
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We are talking about 500 ...
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hmtsorno | Rate it | 4-Nov-09 03:03 pm | ||
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The failure to curta...
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quadruplema... | Rate it | 4-Nov-09 03:26 pm | ||
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Correction - th...
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quadruplema... | Rate it | 4-Nov-09 03:32 pm | ||
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By not paying the $500 pr...
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pimmoban | Rate it | 4-Nov-09 05:45 pm | ||
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Pimm,
Do you know...
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quadruplema... | Rate it | 4-Nov-09 07:05 pm | ||
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The repayment is not equal for all quarters. It's ...
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hmtsorno | Rate it | 2-Nov-09 04:01 pm | ||
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Repayments are mostly Condo unit sales, prima...
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pimmoban | Rate it | 2-Nov-09 05:43 pm |
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