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Message Boards Settings Herbalife Ltd. (HLF) - Quote Info
I'm Baccccccckkkkkkk!      6-Nov-09 11:14 am    
Starting to take LARGE short position! Non-Farm Payrolls BAD! HLF's target market is taking it on the chin with 10.2% unemployment and U6 unemployment of 16+%. The real indicator was in HLF's Q3 2009 Earnings Call Transcript;
" We are proud of the fact that unlike many companies, we are growing our US business in 2009. The United States Latin market business represented 69% of the country’s net sales and was up 7% versus the prior year.

These two provides is were down 5.1% compared to the third quarter last year, but reflecting the strength of this market the average number of supervisors ordering monthly increased by 13.4% from the same period last year. As we have been indicating for the past year, once the market transitions to daily consumption, we believe that the average number of supervisors ordering becomes a more relevant metric and we are planning to introduce this metric more broadly to the investment community starting in 2010." This tells me they are "stuffing the channel" and putting pressure on the supervisors to eat the inventory if they can't sell it! Good luck with the above referenced unemployment numbers...not to mention volatility in the currency markets that HLF has not managed to succesfully trade.
DISCLOSURE: I am short and getting shorter. Do your own due diligence. This is not an investiment recommendation and I am not a professionally trained Investment Advisor.
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gingermills


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I'm Baccccccckkkkkkk!
gingermills (1 Rating) 6-Nov-09 11:14 am  
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Herbalife Ltd. (HLF)

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At 11:01AM ET: 41.32 Down 0.81 (1.92%)
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