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Message Boards Settings Golden Star Resources, Ltd. - Quote Info
Q3-09 Production and Earnings Guestimates     30-Sep-09 05:06 pm    
Please let us know your opinion on Golden Star's Q3-09 gold sales and earnings per share.

Quarterly Average Price of Gold (APOG):

Q1-08 = $926
Q2-08 = $899 (down 2.9% from Q1)
Q3-08 = $866 (down 3.7% from Q2)
Q4-08 = $808 (down 6.6% from Q3)
Q1-09 = $904 (up 11.8% from Q4)
Q2-09 = $928 (up 2.7% from Q1)
Q3-09 = $960 (up 3.4% from Q2)

Latest Q3-09 Gold Sales and Earnings per Share Guesstimates:

Q3-2009__________________Gold Sales_____________Earnings
Studebaker1940_____________100,000_____________$0.055 0
Analyst Consensus_____________?????______________$0.0100
Jammed_Texas_Peach_________100,920_____________$0.019 5
Rusty_The_Kid______________101,010______________$0.00 83
Seeker_Of_Profits____________100,050______________$0. 0035
Average____________________101,013_____________$0.016 5

My guesstimate is based on:
-- Expense profiles from recent quarters
-- The Q3-09 average POG listed above
-- The new electricity rate of $0.08/kWh (counted as a 34% rate cut benefit)
-- I counted no retro-active electricity rate cut reimbursement benefits
-- The 2009 gold production company guidance of 400,000 oz
-- The 2009 cash operating cost per ounce (COCpO) company guidance of $545
-- An overall Q3 derivative gain/(loss) of (-$0.6M)
-- A 1.4% improvement in the quarterly GHS to USD foreign exchange ratio

The analyst consensus earnings per share estimate (provided by 6 analysts) was taken directly from the Yahoo data linked below:

http://finance.yahoo.com/q/ae?s=GSS

Will Golden Star break their all-time quarterly gold sales record again in Q3-09 as they did during Q1-09 and again during Q2-09?

Will Q3-09 prove to be the second profitable quarter in a row for Golden Star; a feat not accomplished since 2006?

Will the Q3-09 APOG break the all-time high average quarterly POG in history? Well, we already know the answer to this question – YES!

While this contest is a nice way to compete and track Golden Star’s production and earnings, I firmly believe that cash flow from operations is a much more important stat for determining the company’s strength and valuation. Golden Star’s positive cash flow is on the rise and going through the roof these days. I expect the Q3-09 cash flow from operations to be upwards of $40,000,000.

Please update your gold sales and earnings per share guesstimate at anytime prior to the release of the Q3-09 quarterly report expected in early November.


Sentiment : Strong Buy
Rating :
 (25 Ratings)
Rate it:
awful/not related to \pooraveragegoodexcellent

rusty_the_k...

48/Male
USA


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  Subject Author Rating Time of Post (ET)  
 
Q3-09 Production and Earnings Guestimates
rusty_the_k... 30-Sep-09 05:06 pm  
 
...
henhousewat... 30-Sep-09 06:00 pm  
 
Then why don't we also estimate cash flow in this ...
studebaker1... 30-Sep-09 06:01 pm  
 
Production = 106,000 ozs EPS = 0.05 Cash in Bank...
liambert 30-Sep-09 06:25 pm  
 
Awesome, Rusty. Put me down for 101,200 ou...
bbsyruncl 30-Sep-09 07:21 pm  
 
Production = 106500 oz Cash flow = $44M EPS = $0...
phoo_bar 30-Sep-09 07:22 pm  
 
Forgive me ignorance but if EPS is 4 to 5 cen...
jckliew 30-Sep-09 08:16 pm  
 
One problem is that you're assuming that...
bbsyruncl 30-Sep-09 08:30 pm  
 
Thanks!
jckliew 30-Sep-09 08:54 pm  
 
Good to see 4 guesstimates in positive territory. ...
letitleaf 1-Oct-09 06:13 am  
 
Updates?
seekerofpro... 28-Oct-09 09:30 am  
 
hi Rusty, ...would you put me down for 5 cents ea...
blackmesa33 5-Nov-09 11:24 am  
 
Hi Rusty - I'll guess 101,000 oz and .012 profit.
henhousewat... 5-Nov-09 11:43 am  
 
Please share your opinion on Golden Star's Q3-09 g...
rusty_the_k... 5-Nov-09 03:27 pm  
 
Rusty I am changing my choice to 101 ounces a...
studebaker1... 5-Nov-09 03:38 pm  
 
i will come over from the far east for t...
jckliew 5-Nov-09 07:52 pm  
 
Rusty, I'm going to change my quess to 101,50...
seekerofpro... 5-Nov-09 04:13 pm  
 
0.055,
simple_simo... 5-Nov-09 05:38 pm  
 
“0.055” -- Simple_Simon_Over Wo...
rusty_the_k... 5-Nov-09 05:43 pm  
 
This is your last chance to share your opinion on ...
rusty_the_k... 9-Nov-09 04:22 pm  
 
Ok, I'll Send in a Guess. 103,000 ounces w...
vngumm 9-Nov-09 04:29 pm  
 
Put me down for 102,000 and .028 profit no...
cheapy_bob 9-Nov-09 04:49 pm  
 
101,500 oz. $0.015
dr_seuss_md 9-Nov-09 05:01 pm  
 
put me down for 103,500 and $0.023
wh0_phd 9-Nov-09 05:06 pm  
 
Result: 107,000 oz. It seems GSS bits...
fnwsa 9-Nov-09 05:23 pm  
 
Well, the Q3-09 quarterly gold production and earn...
rusty_the_k... (1 Rating) 9-Nov-09 11:47 pm  
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