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Please let us know your opinion on Golden Star's Q3-09 gold sales and earnings per share.
Quarterly Average Price of Gold (APOG): Q1-08 = $926 Q2-08 = $899 (down 2.9% from Q1) Q3-08 = $866 (down 3.7% from Q2) Q4-08 = $808 (down 6.6% from Q3) Q1-09 = $904 (up 11.8% from Q4) Q2-09 = $928 (up 2.7% from Q1) Q3-09 = $960 (up 3.4% from Q2) Latest Q3-09 Gold Sales and Earnings per Share Guesstimates: Q3-2009__________________Gold Sales_____________Earnings Studebaker1940_____________100,000_____________$0.055 0 Analyst Consensus_____________?????______________$0.0100 Jammed_Texas_Peach_________100,920_____________$0.019 5 Rusty_The_Kid______________101,010______________$0.00 83 Seeker_Of_Profits____________100,050______________$0. 0035 Average____________________101,013_____________$0.016 5 My guesstimate is based on: -- Expense profiles from recent quarters -- The Q3-09 average POG listed above -- The new electricity rate of $0.08/kWh (counted as a 34% rate cut benefit) -- I counted no retro-active electricity rate cut reimbursement benefits -- The 2009 gold production company guidance of 400,000 oz -- The 2009 cash operating cost per ounce (COCpO) company guidance of $545 -- An overall Q3 derivative gain/(loss) of (-$0.6M) -- A 1.4% improvement in the quarterly GHS to USD foreign exchange ratio The analyst consensus earnings per share estimate (provided by 6 analysts) was taken directly from the Yahoo data linked below: http://finance.yahoo.com/q/ae?s=GSS Will Golden Star break their all-time quarterly gold sales record again in Q3-09 as they did during Q1-09 and again during Q2-09? Will Q3-09 prove to be the second profitable quarter in a row for Golden Star; a feat not accomplished since 2006? Will the Q3-09 APOG break the all-time high average quarterly POG in history? Well, we already know the answer to this question – YES! While this contest is a nice way to compete and track Golden Star’s production and earnings, I firmly believe that cash flow from operations is a much more important stat for determining the company’s strength and valuation. Golden Star’s positive cash flow is on the rise and going through the roof these days. I expect the Q3-09 cash flow from operations to be upwards of $40,000,000. Please update your gold sales and earnings per share guesstimate at anytime prior to the release of the Q3-09 quarterly report expected in early November. Sentiment : Strong Buy Rating :
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48/Male |
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| Subject | Author | Rating | Time of Post (ET) | ||
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Q3-09 Production and Earnings Guestimates
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rusty_the_k... |
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30-Sep-09 05:06 pm | ||
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...
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henhousewat... |
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30-Sep-09 06:00 pm | ||
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Then why don't we also estimate cash flow in this ...
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studebaker1... |
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30-Sep-09 06:01 pm | ||
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Production = 106,000 ozs
EPS = 0.05
Cash in Bank...
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liambert |
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30-Sep-09 06:25 pm | ||
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Awesome, Rusty.
Put me down for 101,200 ou...
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bbsyruncl |
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30-Sep-09 07:21 pm | ||
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Production = 106500 oz
Cash flow = $44M
EPS = $0...
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phoo_bar |
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30-Sep-09 07:22 pm | ||
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Forgive me ignorance but if EPS is 4 to 5 cen...
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jckliew |
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30-Sep-09 08:16 pm | ||
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One problem is that you're assuming that...
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bbsyruncl |
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30-Sep-09 08:30 pm | ||
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Thanks!
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jckliew |
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30-Sep-09 08:54 pm | ||
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Good to see 4 guesstimates in positive territory.
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letitleaf |
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1-Oct-09 06:13 am | ||
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Updates?
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seekerofpro... |
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28-Oct-09 09:30 am | ||
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hi Rusty,
...would you put me down for 5 cents ea...
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blackmesa33 |
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5-Nov-09 11:24 am | ||
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Hi Rusty - I'll guess 101,000 oz and .012 profit.
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henhousewat... |
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5-Nov-09 11:43 am | ||
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Please share your opinion on Golden Star's Q3-09 g...
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rusty_the_k... |
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5-Nov-09 03:27 pm | ||
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Rusty I am changing my choice to 101 ounces a...
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studebaker1... |
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5-Nov-09 03:38 pm | ||
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i will come over from the far east for t...
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jckliew |
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5-Nov-09 07:52 pm | ||
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Rusty, I'm going to change my quess to 101,50...
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seekerofpro... |
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5-Nov-09 04:13 pm | ||
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0.055,
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simple_simo... |
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5-Nov-09 05:38 pm | ||
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“0.055”
-- Simple_Simon_Over
Wo...
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rusty_the_k... |
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5-Nov-09 05:43 pm | ||
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This is your last chance to share your opinion on ...
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rusty_the_k... |
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9-Nov-09 04:22 pm | ||
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Ok, I'll Send in a Guess.
103,000 ounces w...
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vngumm |
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9-Nov-09 04:29 pm | ||
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Put me down for 102,000 and .028 profit
no...
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cheapy_bob |
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9-Nov-09 04:49 pm | ||
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101,500 oz.
$0.015
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dr_seuss_md |
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9-Nov-09 05:01 pm | ||
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put me down for 103,500 and $0.023
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wh0_phd |
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9-Nov-09 05:06 pm | ||
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Result: 107,000 oz.
It seems GSS bits...
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fnwsa |
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9-Nov-09 05:23 pm | ||
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Well, the Q3-09 quarterly gold production and earn...
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rusty_the_k... | (1 Rating) | 9-Nov-09 11:47 pm |
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