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Message Boards Settings China Natural Gas, Inc. - Quote Info
Are my estimates conservative?      7-Nov-09 05:10 am    
Quarterly Revenue
Q109 Act --> Q209 Act --> Q308 Act --> Q408 Act --> Est '09
18,528 --> 20,743 --> 18,401 --> 18,403 --> 75,805

Annual Rev Trend
Act'06 --> Act'07 --> Act'08 --> Est '09
18,829 --> 35,392 --> 67,721 --> 75,805


Quarterly Earnings Trend
Q109 Act --> Q209 Act --> Q308 Act --> Q408 Act --> Est '09
3863 --> 4202 --> 3732 --> 5137 --> 16,934

Annual Earnings Trend
Act'06 --> Act'07 --> Act'08 --> Est '09
5451 --> 9116 --> 15,190 --> 16,934

After hours current Sh Pr: 13.48
Shares Outstanding: 14,600,000
Current PE: 11.45
Calculated PE with Cur Sh Price
13.48/11.45 = 1.177
Reported TTM Diluted PE: 1.16

With Est '09 Earnings of 16,934 and Shares O/S of 14,600,000
EPS should be near 2.31/Share. At the current price 13.48/2.31 the Expected PE '09 should be 5.84 given the conservative earnings estimates using the 2008 Q3 and Q4 Rev and Earnings.
Thus with the current Reported PE of 11.45 were applied to the '09 Est EPS of 2.31 (i.e., 11.45 x 2.31) we should see a stock price nearing $26.45 or at least in the range of $20-$25/Sh by Q12010.

Rating: Undervalued.


Sentiment : Strong Buy
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blkb0803

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Oklahoma Ci...


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  Subject Author Rating Time of Post (ET)  
 
Are my estimates conservative?
blkb0803 Not rated 7-Nov-09 05:10 am  
 
Correction: From: Calculated PE with Cur Sh Pr...
blkb0803 Rate it 7-Nov-09 05:19 am  
 
'nother correction... From: Reported TTM Dilute...
blkb0803 Rate it 7-Nov-09 05:22 am  
 
Does your share count take in to account this summ...
drjackcar Rate it 7-Nov-09 08:48 am  
 
Company guidance from the most recent presentation...
drjackcar Rate it 7-Nov-09 09:04 am  
 
shares outstanding in Q2 2009 was about 14.6M. th...
xanthonygx Rate it 7-Nov-09 10:48 am  
 
So 21.2M shares and their $18.5M net income e...
drjackcar Rate it 7-Nov-09 11:02 am  
 
Where do you see CHNG's greatest contribution marg...
blkb0803 Rate it 7-Nov-09 02:40 pm  
 
wow. great numbering. thx
dbmarlowe1 Rate it 7-Nov-09 11:29 pm  
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China Natural Gas, Inc. (CHNG)

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