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Today there are a number of buyers believing that the earnings will be good. On the other hand the short sellers are trying to keep down the buying impact by selling short. The Interactive Broker site has changed from 200,000 shares available to 100,000 shares available since yesterday. Very few retail sellers showing up. I have no doubt that there will be positive cash flow, and an Operating Profit. The work that the management has performed with the refinancing/exchange of debt has significantly lowered interest rate, which along with management fees are the greatest expenses the company has. I also have no doubt that the Revenue will be down, I expect a default rate of 7% or Revenue to be about 58Million, MOL.
Asset values are a crap shot. I just dont have a guess as to what they might look like. CMBS values were rising, then a series of negative media articles about the viability of Commercial Real Estate has altered the perception that the PPIP was creating leaves a big hairy doubt. So the bottom line is what will count more to investors; Positive Income numbers or falling asset values? Rating :
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A tale of two opinions
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Nerd86 |
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6-Nov-09 11:48 am | ||
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The vote today was .......Let's wait til Monday. ...
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Nerd86 | Rate it | 6-Nov-09 04:12 pm | ||
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I am not sure which default rate you were refering...
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yayoyack | Rate it | 7-Nov-09 01:29 am | ||
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Update to this message is in " "
I am not ...
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yayoyack | Rate it | 11-Nov-09 12:39 am | ||
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Your right we are in the same position a...
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Nerd86 | (1 Rating) | 11-Nov-09 01:53 pm | ||
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Each method has precision associate...
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ecll32 | Rate it | 11-Nov-09 03:24 pm | ||
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Why do you care about a reverse spl...
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bobgrant10 | Rate it | 11-Nov-09 03:32 pm | ||
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I think the advantages of talking d...
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tnordloh | Rate it | 11-Nov-09 04:35 pm | ||
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"I have no doubt that there will be positive cash ...
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FRANKEFURTE... | Rate it | 9-Nov-09 07:51 pm | ||
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I don't think so. check out the numbers on ED...
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Nerd86 | Rate it | 9-Nov-09 08:14 pm | ||
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probably they are talking it down so muc...
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stocktrader... | Rate it | 9-Nov-09 08:20 pm | ||
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One random thought - talk down the stock...
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gb31248 | Rate it | 9-Nov-09 09:11 pm | ||
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You my friend, see it exactly as I ...
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chrisanja | (1 Rating) | 11-Nov-09 07:53 am | ||
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Bump
a post with substance
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worldwidewe... | Rate it | 11-Nov-09 08:42 am | ||
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Sounds too good to be true!
...
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yayoyack | Rate it | 11-Nov-09 09:08 am | ||
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Any time - it just keeps ...
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chrisanja | Rate it | 11-Nov-09 09:18 am | ||
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I hope you are right...
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yayoyack | Rate it | 11-Nov-09 09:34 am | ||
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Nerd, you are clueless........
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ethical.inv... | (1 Rating) | 11-Nov-09 12:03 pm | ||
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I always like the information you provide. I...
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Nerd86 | Rate it | 11-Nov-09 03:45 pm |
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