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Message Boards Settings Anthracite Capital, Inc. - Quote Info
A tale of two opinions      6-Nov-09 11:48 am    
Today there are a number of buyers believing that the earnings will be good. On the other hand the short sellers are trying to keep down the buying impact by selling short. The Interactive Broker site has changed from 200,000 shares available to 100,000 shares available since yesterday. Very few retail sellers showing up. I have no doubt that there will be positive cash flow, and an Operating Profit. The work that the management has performed with the refinancing/exchange of debt has significantly lowered interest rate, which along with management fees are the greatest expenses the company has. I also have no doubt that the Revenue will be down, I expect a default rate of 7% or Revenue to be about 58Million, MOL.

Asset values are a crap shot. I just dont have a guess as to what they might look like. CMBS values were rising, then a series of negative media articles about the viability of Commercial Real Estate has altered the perception that the PPIP was creating leaves a big hairy doubt.

So the bottom line is what will count more to investors; Positive Income numbers or falling asset values?
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Nerd86


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  Subject Author Rating Time of Post (ET)  
 
A tale of two opinions
Nerd86 6-Nov-09 11:48 am  
 
The vote today was .......Let's wait til Monday. ...
Nerd86 Rate it 6-Nov-09 04:12 pm  
 
I am not sure which default rate you were refering...
yayoyack Rate it 7-Nov-09 01:29 am  
 
Update to this message is in " " I am not ...
yayoyack Rate it 11-Nov-09 12:39 am  
 
Your right we are in the same position a...
Nerd86 (1 Rating) 11-Nov-09 01:53 pm  
 
Each method has precision associate...
ecll32 Rate it 11-Nov-09 03:24 pm  
 
Why do you care about a reverse spl...
bobgrant10 Rate it 11-Nov-09 03:32 pm  
 
I think the advantages of talking d...
tnordloh Rate it 11-Nov-09 04:35 pm  
 
"I have no doubt that there will be positive cash ...
FRANKEFURTE... Rate it 9-Nov-09 07:51 pm  
 
I don't think so. check out the numbers on ED...
Nerd86 Rate it 9-Nov-09 08:14 pm  
 
probably they are talking it down so muc...
stocktrader... Rate it 9-Nov-09 08:20 pm  
 
One random thought - talk down the stock...
gb31248 Rate it 9-Nov-09 09:11 pm  
 
You my friend, see it exactly as I ...
chrisanja (1 Rating) 11-Nov-09 07:53 am  
 
Bump a post with substance
worldwidewe... Rate it 11-Nov-09 08:42 am  
 
Sounds too good to be true! ...
yayoyack Rate it 11-Nov-09 09:08 am  
 
Any time - it just keeps ...
chrisanja Rate it 11-Nov-09 09:18 am  
 
I hope you are right...
yayoyack Rate it 11-Nov-09 09:34 am  
 
Nerd, you are clueless........
ethical.inv... (1 Rating) 11-Nov-09 12:03 pm  
 
I always like the information you provide. I...
Nerd86 Rate it 11-Nov-09 03:45 pm  
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