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How is production only going to double ?      6-Nov-09 02:46 pm    
Somebody help me with this.

ATP management has basically been saying that production will double in 2010. But it looks like this is very conservative based on the information we have.

Here is what we have to go from:

Current production - 105 million cubic feet a day

2009 expected exit rate - 150 million cubic feet a day

Telemark/Titan at full capacity - 180 million cubic feet a day

So versus the current production rate of 105 million we have the exit rate of 150 million cubic feet a day plus the 180 million cubic feet a day from Telemark. Total is 330 million cubic feet a day when the last Telemark well hooked up.

105 current
330 with Telemark on and Q4 work done

More than a triple. No ?

Yes, decline rates in the 150 million exit rate have to be considered, but per the call yesterday they also have drilling planned for Gomez (1 well), Canyon Express and Wenlock in 2010. Those should hold that rate pretty steady.

Is my math wrong ?
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  Subject Author Rating Time of Post (ET)  
 
How is production only going to double ?
swizzledxx 6-Nov-09 02:46 pm  
 
Yes you forgot Cheviot, the Biggest of them all!!!...
binckbanker (2 Ratings) 6-Nov-09 03:09 pm  
 
can you tell anyone how many fully diluted shares ...
eagle01240 (1 Rating) 6-Nov-09 03:15 pm  
 
please do you really care ?? with a NAV of 11...
binckbanker 6-Nov-09 03:18 pm  
 
Between now and then hopefully none. Half th...
swizzledxx (2 Ratings) 6-Nov-09 03:22 pm  
 
Why on earth would we need yet another e...
cgiffin_199... (1 Rating) 6-Nov-09 03:30 pm  
 
I think MGT doesn't want to sell to...
binckbanker (2 Ratings) 6-Nov-09 03:35 pm  
 
...
johnnywilks... (1 Rating) 6-Nov-09 10:26 pm  
 
Say one thing you like about ATP. ...
swizzledxx 6-Nov-09 03:39 pm  
 
A wolf in sheeps clothing he i...
trader1068 Rate it 6-Nov-09 03:42 pm  
 
the only third party i care ab...
eagle01240 (2 Ratings) 6-Nov-09 03:50 pm  
 
"the only third party i c...
swizzledxx 6-Nov-09 04:17 pm  
 
do you want to be an...
eagle01240 (1 Rating) 6-Nov-09 04:52 pm  
 
If you have given hi...
johnnywilks... (1 Rating) 6-Nov-09 10:30 pm  
 
"Where the he//...
jack7green7 7-Nov-09 08:12 am  
 
LMAO. .than...
trader1068 Rate it 7-Nov-09 08:23 am  
 
It's jerks...
biffiesbrot... Rate it 7-Nov-09 09:07 am  
 
You a...
jack7green7 Rate it 7-Nov-09 09:29 am  
 
Folks....great topic, some very interest...
cwc2148
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Rate it 7-Nov-09 12:26 pm  
 
Management loves to sandbag a little. Too, conserv...
bearisok99 Rate it 6-Nov-09 04:18 pm  
 
I think they are talking about total 09 production...
miletius Rate it 6-Nov-09 05:06 pm  
 
I think this is it swizzle. They have been s...
cybertrader... (1 Rating) 7-Nov-09 12:51 am  
 
And another thing that bugs be is all th...
cybertrader... 7-Nov-09 01:04 am  
 
have been saying this for months an...
eagle01240 (1 Rating) 7-Nov-09 06:45 am  
 
They are hiding the worse and ...
johnnywilks... (1 Rating) 7-Nov-09 07:35 am  
 
I agree with alot that you are sayi...
jack7green7 (1 Rating) 7-Nov-09 11:58 am  
 
No, your math is not what is wrong. Your assumpti...
johnnywilks... (1 Rating) 6-Nov-09 10:22 pm  
 
In the conference call they say they will "more th...
biffiesbrot... Rate it 7-Nov-09 09:02 am  
 
For 2010 you can't figure a full year of peak prod...
judge007bbp (1 Rating) 7-Nov-09 12:47 pm  
 
ATPG will be valued on basis of expected ann...
betabundle (1 Rating) 7-Nov-09 01:25 pm  
 
Yes..exactly...and then all the people w...
trader1068 Rate it 7-Nov-09 01:28 pm  
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