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Message Boards Settings ATP Oil & Gas Corporation (ATPG) - Quote Info
Long Term Long. But Realistic      5-Nov-09 09:43 am    
The covenant revision was so costly. Interest on $1B at a 2 3/4 higher interest rate translates to $25-30M over 2010 and they paid about $5M in up front fees. So a revision from 3 to 4 on the EBITDAX to debt covenant cost them $35M....And how much time does that buy them. I have run all the numbers. They will make it past Q4, but Q1-10 will require another asset sale. They will be in violation of even the revised covenant in Q1-10 without an asset sale that generates a substantial gain. Bottom line is they are being screwed royally by Credit Suisse, the same company that underwrote the secondary with JP Morgan. Why did Credit Suisse stick it to them? Because they could....

Think about what happened....They paid $35M for nothing.....They paid $35M for about a 4 month waiver of time. Time to develop Telemark. And they have agreed to share revenue on Telemark with vendors to a degree yet to be quantified.....They are really behind the 8 ball now....I am moving to the sidelines until I see production from Telemark.....Their entire future rests on the development of Telemark.

Michael


Sentiment : Hold
Rating :
 (5 Ratings)
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hubris12000

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  Subject Author Rating Time of Post (ET)  
 
Long Term Long. But Realistic
hubris12000 5-Nov-09 09:43 am  
 
"I have run all the numbers" Show us your numbe...
swizzledxx (2 Ratings) 5-Nov-09 09:51 am  
 
Yes, please show us those numbers........and ...
cgiffin_199... (1 Rating) 5-Nov-09 09:59 am  
 
Swizzle: If you provide me your email addr...
hubris12000 Rate it 5-Nov-09 10:11 am  
 
Michael or Swizzle, Neither the...
cgiffin_199... Rate it 5-Nov-09 10:28 am  
 
We are all confused. EBITDAX is ba...
hubris12000 Rate it 5-Nov-09 10:40 am  
 
I just typed a reply to this w...
swizzledxx 5-Nov-09 11:02 am  
 
Swizzle: I love readin...
hubris12000 5-Nov-09 11:30 am  
 
"One thing you negle...
swizzledxx (2 Ratings) 5-Nov-09 11:45 am  
 
Swizzle: The...
hubris12000 5-Nov-09 12:21 pm  
 
"If you lo...
llam_01 Rate it 5-Nov-09 12:34 pm  
 
I listened to the confere...
hubris12000 (2 Ratings) 5-Nov-09 07:32 pm  
 
Swizz/Hubris, Per...
nvb123 Rate it 6-Nov-09 10:51 am  
 
Sorry but I hav...
hubris12000 6-Nov-09 10:59 am  
 
this may b...
eagle01240 (1 Rating) 6-Nov-09 11:06 am  
 
First, I'm...
nvb123 (1 Rating) 6-Nov-09 11:40 am  
 
the C...
eagle01240 Rate it 6-Nov-09 11:45 am  
 
Are w...
swizzledxx (1 Rating) 6-Nov-09 11:58 am  
 
sale ...
eagle01240 (1 Rating) 6-Nov-09 12:20 pm  
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That's a p...
nvb123 Rate it 6-Nov-09 11:43 am  
 
What if oil falls to 65?
tboonep Rate it 6-Nov-09 12:56 pm  
 
Give it up. Swizzle is entirely too damn...
johnnywilks... 6-Nov-09 07:28 am  
 
Your running the numbers is the problem. You...
johnnywilks... Rate it 6-Nov-09 07:26 am  
 
The fact ATPG hasn't started producing at Telemark...
llam_01 (1 Rating) 5-Nov-09 11:00 am  
 
(the whole company is only doing about 16,000...
bjerriod Rate it 5-Nov-09 01:44 pm  
 
Keep in mind we should look at market ca...
danielwong2... (1 Rating) 6-Nov-09 05:00 am  
 
Those stock / bond underwriters have no one to pro...
Rusty_Walla... Rate it 5-Nov-09 08:05 pm  
 
Hi, Johnny. I see you just arrived from the ...
headnorth47 Rate it 6-Nov-09 10:59 am  
 
Management provided the approx $50M number. Remem...
hubris12000 Rate it 6-Nov-09 01:26 pm  
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ATP Oil & Gas Corp. (ATPG)

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