This all sounds great if your blind and can't see that demand is way down. People do not have easy credit, which means no more big purchases. Steel demand is not going to be where is was at in the past. I don't see how you can rely on these analysts. Look at the economy as a whole and make a sound decision based on that. All I see is a market that has run up to far. Show me good steel demand and I'll be willing to buy this. Show me demand other than China speculation and I'll be a buyer. The unemployment is also great! Look what happened the last time they pumped this and other coal stocks up to the breaking point.