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Good evening gents. I have been watching this one closely too. Easy, inexpensive way to get financials exposure. My take...I think there is still 5 to 10 percent more downside risk on the sector (and fund), but, obviously, lots of pullback already. Never want to catch the falling knife, but history has taught us that the market tends to react too favorably on the upside and to negative on the downside. Looks like there are some solid firms with strong balance sheets that are being punished in a market environment that is vastly emotion driven selling. Has C, BSC and MER had issues? Yes. Has Countrywide been caught with their hand in the collective cookie jar? Looks that way. Could we have seen something like this coming with the homebuilders leading the way down on declining revenue and orders 12 months ago? Yes. Are all the players involved done going to confessional? IMHO, not quite yet. Earnings season will be telling. AT SOME POINT, I expect the market to grow numb to another firm write down of $5 or $10 billion. I think once we see that, in combination with analysts revising earnings and revenue expectations down, we may have hit some level of bottom. I would tread lightly if this is nest egg money. If this is speculative/contrarian money, maybe not as much. Good luck gents. Earnings season will be interesting.
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| Subject | Author | Rating | Time of Post (ET) | ||
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I keep looking at this fund to put a smalll portion of ...
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emclu | (1 Rating) | 30-Dec-07 09:17 am | ||
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I've been buying in slowly since mid October. I t...
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ace6783
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Rate it | 3-Jan-08 04:48 am | ||
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I would wait a few weeks to see where the fin mark...
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jimhferg123... | Rate it | 3-Jan-08 01:44 pm | ||
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Yeah I think your right. The market has reall...
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emclu | Rate it | 5-Jan-08 06:56 am | ||
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It certainly may drop further but I find it imposs...
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formerjeper | Rate it | 5-Jan-08 06:38 pm | ||
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Geez with all the consumer credit problems an...
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emclu | Rate it | 7-Jan-08 12:59 pm | ||
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I think this may a great case of watching for the ...
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divad4141 | Rate it | 7-Jan-08 06:36 pm | ||
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Re: Anybody out there?
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bmitchell77 | Not rated | 15-Jan-08 09:42 pm |
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